Posts belonging to Category IMF



Bridgewater founder is not a believer in cryptocurrencies

Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, says ‘bitcoin is a bubble’

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio said Tuesday he is not a believer in cryptocurrencies. “Bitcoin today you can’t make much transactions in it. You can’t spend it very easily,” Dalio said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “It’s not an effective storehold of wealth because it has volatility to it, unlike gold,” the hedge fund founder added. “Bitcoin is a highly speculative market. Bitcoin is a bubble.”

The investor said there are two important facets to being considered a valid currency: ease of transactions as a medium of exchange and being a “storehold of wealth.” “It’s a shame, it could be a currency. It could work conceptually, but the amount of speculation that is going on and the lack of transactions [hurts it],” he said.

http://www.cnbc.com…  Mon.,  09  October 2017

First big Wall Street firm to deal directly in the cryptocurrency market

Goldman Sachs Explores a New World: Trading Bitcoin

Goldman Sachs is flirting with the idea of setting up a bitcoin trading shop. The Wall Street powerhouse is in the very early stages of potentially setting up a bitcoin trading operation, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal’s Paul Vigna, Telis Demos, and Liz Hoffman. “In response to client interest in digital currencies we are exploring how best to serve them in this space,” a Goldman spokeswoman told The Journal.

If Goldman follows through, it will be the first blue-chip financial services firm to break into the cryptocurrency market, which this year has exploded in value. Goldman’s C-Suite has kept pretty quiet about digital coins. The rest of Wall Street has mixed reviews. On one hand, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon called bitcoin “a fraud” and likened it to the tulip-bulb bubble of the 1600s. On the other, James Gorman, Morgan Stanley’s CEO, has taken a more moderate position on bitcoin, saying last week it was “more than just a fad.”

http://businessinsider.com…  Tue.,  03  October 2017

US debt is still climbing

The US government just passed $20 trillion in debt for the first time ever

For the first time in its history, the US federal government has more than $20 trillion in outstanding debt.

The milestone was technically hit Friday, with the Treasury Department settling its accounts at the end of the day with $20,162,176,797,904 of debt outstanding. Of that debt, the Treasury said $14,622,661,213,046 is held by the public, while $5,539,515,584,857 is held by various parts of the government, also known as Intragovernmental Holdings.

http://www.businessinsider.com…  Tue.,  12  September 2017

EU explores account freezes to prevent runs at failing banks

Discussions were due to continue in September

European Union states are considering measures which would allow them to temporarily stop people withdrawing money from their accounts to prevent bank runs, an EU document reviewed by Reuters revealed. The move is aimed at helping rescue lenders that are deemed failing or likely to fail, but critics say it could hit confidence and might even hasten withdrawals at the first rumors of a bank being in trouble.

The proposal, which has been in the works since the beginning of this year, comes less than two months after a run on deposits at Banco Popular contributed to the collapse of the Spanish lender.

It also come amid a bitter wrangle among European countries over how to deal with troubled banks, roughly a decade after a financial crash that required the European Central Bank to print billions of euros to prevent a prolonged economic slump.

http://www.reuters.com…  Fri.,  08  September 2017

Jackson Hole meeting in focus

Speeches by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi on Friday will be scrutinized

U.S. stocks dipped on Thursday as political uncertainty in Washington kept investors cautious ahead of comments on monetary policy from central bankers gathered for their annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Speeches by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi on Friday will be scrutinized for hints on the path of monetary policy, but neither of them is expected to give fresh guidance.

The focus on central bankers’ views will be a departure from the past two weeks, when the stock market was roiled by concerns over geopolitics, mayhem in Washington, and President Donald Trump’s controversial comments. President Donald Trump picked a new fight with fellow Republicans whose support he needs to advance his policy agenda, saying congressional leaders could have avoided a “mess” over raising the U.S. debt ceiling if they had heeded his advice.

http://www.reuters.com…  Fri.,  25  August 2017

Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash

Orders for bitcoin cash are ‘exploding’

On Tuesday afternoon, bitcoin split into two in an event known as a “hard fork” that has divided the virtual currency’s online community.

Two competing strands of bitcoin emerged after some of its leading backers disagreed on the best way to take it forward.

The price of the cryptocurrency fell by around 4pc to around $2,700 (£2,000) after the fork, while the predicted price of Bitcoin cash rose from just over $200 to about $370, but traders are still unsure what will happen when the dust settles.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk…   Wed.,  02  August 2017

US debt default would be like Lehman crash

Raising the debt ceiling

A U.S. debt default would create significant confusion and uncertainty in financial markets and could prove as catastrophic as the failure of Lehman Brothers in 2008, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said in a new report.

Lawmakers in the U.S. side-stepped a debt default at the 11th eleventh hour in October and brought an end to prolonged negotiations over raising the debt ceiling. But talks are set to resume in the new year with the debt ceiling extended until February 7 and funding approved until January 15.

“An outright default would have extremely severe effects” the OECD said in the report, released on Tuesday.

http://www.cnbc.com…  Mon.,  12  June 2017

Greek debt deal

Euro zone, IMF to seek compromise

Euro zone finance ministers and the International Monetary Fund will seek a deal on Monday on Greek debt relief that balances the IMF’s demand for a clear “when and how” with Germany’s preference for “only if necessary” and “details later”. Without the deal, no new loans can be disbursed to Athens, even though the bailout is now handled only by euro zone governments, and Greece needs new credit to repay some 7.3 billion euros worth of maturing loans in July.

Without the loans, Athens is likely to default – a bad start for a country that wants to return to market financing next year when its latest bailout, the third since 2010, ends in mid-2018. For its part, Greece has done what it could to secure a deal. It has agreed, albeit after months of negotiations, with the euro zone lenders and the IMF on pensions and tax reforms.

http://www.reuters.com…  Mon.,  22  May 2017

The world’s 100 largest banks

23 banks with more than a $1 trillon of assets

China’s largest banks kept growing in 2016, but the currency turmoil unleashed by Brexit battered European companies in S&P Global Market Intelligence’s latest global bank rankings.

China’s “Big Four” — Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., China Construction Bank Corp., Agricultural Bank of China Ltd. and Bank of China Ltd. — all maintained their rank as the four largest banks in the world with a combined $11.910 trillion in assets as of Dec. 31, 2016. Tokyo-based Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. retained its place as the world’s fifth largest bank at $2.590 trillion in assets.

Brexit was not kind to European currencies in 2016 — the euro bought $1.055 at the end of 2016, compared to $1.086 a year earlier, while the British pound fell to $1.235 from $1.474 over the same period. The drop in the pound alone knocked $289.53 billion off of the asset value for London-based Barclays Plc, which fell two spots in the ranking to No. 17 with $1.496 trillion in assets; the bank’s assets would have been $1.785 trillion if converted to U.S. dollars using the year-end 2015 exchange rate.

http://www.snl.com…  Fri.,  21 April 2017

Political and financial risks threaten global growth

Will risks and financial vulnerabilities derail the modest recovery?

Global growth is projected to pick up to around 3½ per cent in 2018, from just under 3% in 2016 in our latest Interim Economic Outlook. The forecast modest recovery is supported by fiscal initiatives in major economies and broadly unchanged from the November Economic Outlook. While the pick-up is welcome, it would still leave global growth below the historical average of around 4% for the two decades prior to the crisis. This comes against the background of a five-year period where the global economy has been stuck in a low-growth trap. Consumption, investment, trade and productivity are far from strong and inequality is rising.Productivity gaps between frontier firms and laggard firms have widened, contributing to a growing income gap as wages have stagnated at less productive firms.

http://www.oecdecoscope.com…  Wed,  08 March 2017