Posts belonging to Category stocks



U.S. home sales stumble

Prices hit record high

U.S. home resales fell more than expected in June as a dearth of properties amid strong demand pushed prices to a record high, keeping first-time buyers on the sidelines. The housing market has experienced an acute shortage of homes for sale for about two years. As the labor market churns out more jobs and builders struggle to secure land, building materials and skilled labor, the situation could worsen.

“The fact that demand is so high is actually a good sign of economic health,” said Svenja Gudell, chief economist at Zillow. “But that’s probably small comfort to buyers, especially first-time buyers that are having an especially difficult time finding entry-level homes for sale.”The National Association of Realtors said on Monday existing home sales dropped 1.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.52 million units last month.

Economists had forecast sales falling 1.0 percent to a 5.58 million-unit rate. Sales were up 0.7 percent from June 2016. The shortage of properties has led to bidding wars, culminating in house price increases outpacing wage gains.

http://www.reuters.com…   Tue.,  25  July 2017

Oil price down

OPEC faces ‘mission impossible’ in sustaining oil prices

IHS Markit’s Victor Shum predicts Brent crude prices may settle around mid to high $40s per barrel as OPEC’s compliance to production cuts falls.

http://www.cnbc.com…   Mon.,  24  July 2017

Exit from BREXIT?

Voters must be allowed another referendum  at the end of the two year Article 50 process

Sir Vince Cable has offered voters the possibility of an “exit from Brexit” after being confirmed as the new leader of the Liberal Democrats. The former business secretary, 74, succeeds Tim Farron, who stood down in the wake of the General Election because of questions around his faith. The June election saw the Lib Dems increase their tally of MPs by from eight to 12, a modest revival after being almost wiped out in 2015.

Sir Vince, who is the party’s oldest ever leader, said the Government’s handling of Brexit was taking the UK towards the “disastrous outcome” of crashing out of the EU. Negotiations were being conducted by a “dysfunctional, disorganised, disunited” Government, whose strategy was devised before the full complexity of Brexit became apparent, he said, and during a time when Theresa May had “serious political authority”, something she has now lost.

http://news.sky.com…   Fri.,  21  July 2017

Morgan Stanley beat Wall Street’s profit expectations

More trading revenue than the rival Goldman Sachs

Morgan Stanley beat Wall Street’s profit expectations on Wednesday, reporting gains across most of its businesses and producing more trading revenue than rival Goldman Sachs Group Inc, a rare feat. The sixth-largest U.S. bank by assets reported an 11 percent rise in second-quarter profit, generating more revenue from giving corporations advice, underwriting securities, trading equities and managing customers’ money.

The one dark spot, bond trading, fell 4 percent, much less than at Wall Street rivals that reported earnings in recent days. The $1.3 billion in revenue from that business topped Chief Executive Officer James Gorman’s $1 billion quarterly target and beat Goldman’s $1.2 billion.

Morgan Stanley shares jumped 3.9 percent to $46.95 in morning trading.

http://www.reuters.com…   Thu.,  20  July 2017

Netflix profits up 56%

Original content splurge pays off

A year ago Netflix added more than 130 countries to its service. On Wednesday, it announced a 56 per cent rise on profits and a global customer base of 93.8 million people. Netflix added a record 7.05 million new customers in the three months to December 31, 2016, beating its forecast of 5.2 million for the quarter. The split between international and US members is also narrowing (Netflix added 5.1 million in the quarter) bringing the total to 44.4 million – or more than 47 per cent of its total membership.

A lot of that success is down to investments in original programming. Netflix spent $5 billion (£4 billion) in 2016 on shows such as The Crown, Luke Cage and Stranger Things. It produced 600 hours of original programming in 2016, which it says will increase to 1,000 in 2017. Budgets for original shows will be increased to $6 billion to cope with the extra demand, Netflix said.Annual revenue in 2016 was $8.83 billion with a profit of $186.7 million. Quarterly profits were up 56 per cent year-on-year to $67m. The better-than-expected results sent Netflix’s share up eight per cent in after-hours trading.

http://www.wired.com…   Tue.,  18  July 2017

Legal marijuana, a very profitable business

Nevada sold out of legal marijuana so quickly, the government used a ‘statement of emergency’ to bring in more weed

On July 1, Nevada locals and tourists visiting from out of state waited hours in line in triple-digit temperatures to become the first in the state to purchase legal recreational marijuana. Less than two weeks later, the 47 retailers licensed to sell the drug are running out of supply. The Nevada Tax Commission, a subsidiary of the state Department of Taxation, has passed a new regulation to address the shortage in a unanimous vote.

The commission found that the current pool of stores licensed to distribute marijuana is insufficient to support the market. It will reopen applications and allow dispensaries previously operating in the medical marijuana program to vie for a spot in the recreational market. The regulation come as a response to a “statement of emergency” issued by the department and endorsed by Governor Brian Sandoval late last week.

http://www.businessinsider.com…   Fri.,  14  July 2017

America’s pledge on climate change

California Governor Jerry Brown and Michael Bloomberg Launch “America’s Pledge”

 Today, California Governor Jerry Brown and Michael Bloomberg launched America’s Pledge on climate change, a new initiative to compile and quantify the actions of states, cities and businesses in the United States to drive down their greenhouse gas emissions consistent with the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Since the White House announcement of its intention to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, an unprecedented number of U.S. states, cities, businesses, and colleges and universities have reaffirmed their support for the Paris Agreement through collaborations including the “We Are Still In” declaration, the Climate Mayors coalition of cities, the U.S. Climate Alliance group of states, and others.

Building on this positive momentum, the America’s Pledge initiative will for the first time aggregate the commitments of these and other “non-Party actors” in a report on the full range of climate-related activities across the whole of U.S. society. The process of developing America’s Pledge will also provide a roadmap for increased climate ambition from U.S. states, cities, businesses and others, and will transparently demonstrate to the international community how and in which ways these entities can help the U.S. deliver on its pledge under the Paris Agreement.

http://www.bloomberg.com…   Thu.,  13  July 2017

Sales record for Amazon

Amazon.com breaks sales record for ‘Prime Day’

 Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) said on Tuesday its Prime Day sale was on track to be the biggest shopping event in its history by sales. The world’s largest online retailer said customers ordered more than three times as many Echo-family speakers than during Prime Day 2016, which at the time broke records for Amazon devices. Third-party sellers sold over 50 percent more items on the site by noon local time (1900 GMT) than in the same timeframe last year, Amazon said in a statement.

The company has not disclosed sales figures, overall or for the Echo. Analysts estimated last year’s event brought in well over $500 million. The news underscores Amazon’s break-neck pace of growth as more shoppers order online instead of going to brick-and-mortar stores. It also highlights the winning formula of Amazon’s shopping club Prime, the cornerstone of its business. Customers had to join Amazon Prime to get discounts during the 30-hour event. U.S. members of the club pay $99 per year for benefits like two-day shipping, and they tend to buy more goods, more often from Amazon. A timer showing when the deals would expire added further shopping encouragement.

http://www.reuters.com…   Wed.,  12  July 2017

Are markets increasingly overbought ?

Bank Of America Sets A Date For The Market’s “Great Fall”

With the US stock market likely to continue its levitation today, it means that by close of trading, the S&P500 will be above 2,400, the same as Goldman’s year end price target, and 100 points away from Bank of America’s “euphoric blow off top” destination, which is also known as Michael Hartnett’s Icarus Trade. In a note released overnight, Hartnett confirms that he is “sticking with our “Icarus Trade” targets: SPX 2500, GT30 3.5%, DXY 110, oil $70/b”, even as he admits that the euphoria level in stocks is unprecedented:

  • Yes, markets are increasingly overbought (it’s now 96 trading days since SPX fell >1% in one session).
  • Yes, sentiment is increasingly bullish (our Bull & Bear Indicator is 7.0, close to the 8.0 sell-signal).
  • Yes, the easy money has been made. But we believe a March Fed rate hike at a time of booming macro data will cause the bears to fully capitulate into risk assets, causing the melt-up toward our targets in Q2.

He also notes that the renewed jump in bond yields is coinciding with renewed outperformance by small cap & banks, and by high yield bonds vs. investment grade bonds, “thus we are willing to remain long risk assets for a little longer.”

http://www.zerohedge.com…   Tue.,  11  July 2017

Brexit referendum is nor legally binding

Lawyers believe Article 50 has not been triggered and Brexit could collapse under a legal challenge

The wording in the European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Act doesn’t actually contain a decision saying the UK wants to leave the EU. The referendum was only advisory and not legally binding.So perhaps, some barristers say, Article 50 has not technically been triggered and might fall in a legal challenge.

It almost sounds like the plot of a thriller: What if the government has not actually triggered Article 50, and insiders all know the Brexit negotiations in Brussels are a sham that will fall apart as soon as they are challenged in court? And — to take that a step further — what are the real motivations of Prime Minister Theresa May and the rest of the EU if they all know that Article 50 has, in reality, not been legally triggered?

http://www.businessinsider.com…   Mon.,  10  July 2017