Posts belonging to Category currencies



US Debt

Americans’ debt level notches a new record high

Americans’ debt level notched another record high in the second quarter, after having earlier in the year surpassed its pre-crisis peak, on the back of modest rises in mortgage, auto and credit card debt, where delinquencies jumped. Total U.S. household debt was $12.84 trillion in the three months to June, up $552 billion from a year ago, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York report published on Tuesday.

The proportion of overall debt that was delinquent, at 4.8 percent, was on par with the previous quarter. However a red flag was raised over the transitions of credit card balances into delinquency, which the New York Fed said “ticked up notably.” Loosening lending standards have allowed borrowers with lower credit scores to access credit cards, Andrew Haughwout, an in-house economist, said in the report.

http://www.reuters.com…   Wed.,  16  August 2017

Bitcoin has broken $4,000

Continuing surge

The continuing surge in the price of bitcoin has seen it climb to over $4,000 for the first time since the cryptocurrency was created in January 2009. According to the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index, the average price of bitcoin across global exchanges today reached a height of $4,225 at 9:07 a.m. UTC, having opened at $3,917. At press time, the price had dropped slightly to $4,162.

The total value of all cryptocurrencies has also set yet another new all-time high, with the combined market capitalization now sitting at over $137 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. That figure is $11 billion more than the previous high noted by CoinDesk just two days ago, when all crypto assets had a value of $126 billion.

http://coindesk.com…   Mon.,  14  August 2017

Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash

Orders for bitcoin cash are ‘exploding’

On Tuesday afternoon, bitcoin split into two in an event known as a “hard fork” that has divided the virtual currency’s online community.

Two competing strands of bitcoin emerged after some of its leading backers disagreed on the best way to take it forward.

The price of the cryptocurrency fell by around 4pc to around $2,700 (£2,000) after the fork, while the predicted price of Bitcoin cash rose from just over $200 to about $370, but traders are still unsure what will happen when the dust settles.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk…   Wed.,  02  August 2017

Are markets increasingly overbought ?

Bank Of America Sets A Date For The Market’s “Great Fall”

With the US stock market likely to continue its levitation today, it means that by close of trading, the S&P500 will be above 2,400, the same as Goldman’s year end price target, and 100 points away from Bank of America’s “euphoric blow off top” destination, which is also known as Michael Hartnett’s Icarus Trade. In a note released overnight, Hartnett confirms that he is “sticking with our “Icarus Trade” targets: SPX 2500, GT30 3.5%, DXY 110, oil $70/b”, even as he admits that the euphoria level in stocks is unprecedented:

  • Yes, markets are increasingly overbought (it’s now 96 trading days since SPX fell >1% in one session).
  • Yes, sentiment is increasingly bullish (our Bull & Bear Indicator is 7.0, close to the 8.0 sell-signal).
  • Yes, the easy money has been made. But we believe a March Fed rate hike at a time of booming macro data will cause the bears to fully capitulate into risk assets, causing the melt-up toward our targets in Q2.

He also notes that the renewed jump in bond yields is coinciding with renewed outperformance by small cap & banks, and by high yield bonds vs. investment grade bonds, “thus we are willing to remain long risk assets for a little longer.”

http://www.zerohedge.com…   Tue.,  11  July 2017

Brexit referendum is nor legally binding

Lawyers believe Article 50 has not been triggered and Brexit could collapse under a legal challenge

The wording in the European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Act doesn’t actually contain a decision saying the UK wants to leave the EU. The referendum was only advisory and not legally binding.So perhaps, some barristers say, Article 50 has not technically been triggered and might fall in a legal challenge.

It almost sounds like the plot of a thriller: What if the government has not actually triggered Article 50, and insiders all know the Brexit negotiations in Brussels are a sham that will fall apart as soon as they are challenged in court? And — to take that a step further — what are the real motivations of Prime Minister Theresa May and the rest of the EU if they all know that Article 50 has, in reality, not been legally triggered?

http://www.businessinsider.com…   Mon.,  10  July 2017

Paris, Franckfurt, Dublin, Amsterdam fight to poach post Brexit businesses

France outlines plans to attract business post-Brexit

  • producing a set of measures to attract financial business due to Brexit
  • Paris has great potential
  • will cancel planned extension of tax on share trading to intra-day trading
  • will review on a case-by-case basis those French laws that go beyond the EU financial regulations they implement
  • EU financial rules will in the future be implemented in France without additional constraints, to ensure fair level playing field across single market
  • plans to scrap highest bracket of payroll tax for firms like banks that do not pay VAT
  • bankers bonuses will no longer be taken into account when labour courts calculate unfiar dismissal compensation

France out the blocks post-election in the bid to secure any spoils of Brexit fallout. Given the latest French-German alliance/initiatives then we must guess that these plans have been run past Merkel & Co. A joint share of the spoils perhaps?

http://www.forexlive.com…   Fri.,  07  July 2017

Oil glut fears

Asian stocks rise, oil languishes near 10-month low

Asian stocks advanced on Thursday, but oil futures hovered near a 10-month low hit overnight on concerns over a supply glut and falling demand. European stocks were mixed with financial spreadbetter CMC Markets expecting Britain’s FTSE 100 .FTSE to open up 0.1 percent, Germany’s DAX .GDAXI to be little changed and France’s CAC 40 .FCHI to start the day down 0.1 percent. All three closed in negative territory on Wednesday. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS climbed 0.7 percent. Japan’s Nikkei .N225 rose almost 0.1 percent. Shares in auto air bag-maker Takata Corp plunged 50 percent as they exchanged hands for the first time since sources said last week it was preparing to file for bankruptcy.

South Korea’s KOSPI .KS11 added 0.3 percent, while Australian shares jumped 1 percent. Taiwan shares .TWII hit a 27-year high. Chinese shares added to gains made on Wednesday after MSCI included mainland shares in its emerging market indexes. The blue-chip index .CSI300 rose 1.3 percent. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng .HSI climbed 0.5 percent. Crude oil was subdued as investors’ doubts that OPEC-led output cuts would dent a three-year glut offset data showing a drop in U.S. inventories.

http://www.reuters.com…   Thu.,  22  June 2017

The globalisation counter-reaction

Globalisation is a highly disruptive force

WHEN the Archduke Franz Ferdinand was assassinated in 1914, there were few initial indications that world war would follow. In retrospect, many people have argued that the killing was a freak event that should not have resulted in the folly of war.

But was the subsequent war really an exogenous event? Or was it the near-inevitable consequence of the tensions resulting from the first great era of globalisation? If Franz Ferdinand had survived, maybe something else would have triggered the conflict. If the latter possibility is right, that may be a warning sign for the current era.

http://www.economist.com…   Thu.,  15  June 2017

“Due To Popular Demand” Goldman Starts Covering Bitcoin

Bitcoin officially made its way to Wall Street

It’s official: not only has bitcoin officially made its way to Wall Street, but confirming rumors that emerged over the weekend, “hedge” funds – starved of volatility in virtually all other asset classes –  are now not only actively trading the volatile digital currency, but as clients of the vampire squid, have petitioned Goldman’s chief technician, Sheba Jafari to start covering it.

In the report that Goldman released this afternoon ago, Jafaru concludes that “the balance of signals are looking broadly heavy” with the following view: “wary of a near-term top ahead of 3,134. Consider re-establishing bullish exposure between 2,330 and no lower than 1,915.

http://www.zerohedge.com…   Wed.,  14  June 2017

“Soft Brexit” looks more likely

Britain’s political outlook seems toxic to investors

The combination of a weak Conservative prime minister and the potential for a Corbyn government does not look attractive. Suddenly Britain looks a lot less attractive as a home for international investors. The Conservative party under Theresa May gambled on a snap election to deliver a “mandate for Brexit”. It unveiled a muddled manifesto that alienated voters and was out-campaigned by the veteran left-winger Jeremy Corbyn. The party lost its overall majority and will now be propped up by the very odd ducks in Ulster’s Democratic Unionist party.

The markets reacted less severely than might have been expected. That seems to be based on the view that a “soft Brexit” looks more likely. But it is far from clear that this is the case. David Davis, Britain’s Brexit minister, seems to be ploughing ahead with plans to leave the single market and the and the Labour leadership is unlikely to oppose this.

http://www.economist.com…   Tue.,  13  June 2017