Posts belonging to Category UK



How will the General Election result affect Brexit?

Hung Parliament

The prospect of a hung Parliament would throw serious doubt over Brexit negotiations, due to begin in earnest in just 10 days.

The BBC/Sky/ITV poll put the Conservatives on 314 seats, Labour on 266, the Scottish National Party on 34, Liberal Democrats on 14, Plaid Cymru on three and Greens on one.

The EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier has set June 19 as his favoured date for the start of talks, due to last around 14-18 months.

http://www.thetelegraph.co.uk…  Fri.,  09  June 2017

The Pound weakness

It’s ‘time to get bearish’ on the pound again

Deutsche Bank has turned bearish on the pound once again, saying that any possible upside for the currency from next week’s election has already been priced into the market.
Writing on Tuesday, Deutsche Bank strategists Alan Ruskin and George Saravelos used their latest FX Blueprint note to warn investors it is “time to get bearish on GBP again,” after just over one and a half months of a positive outlook on the UK’s currency.

http://www.businessinsider.com…  Wed.,  31  May 2017

Quant Hedge Funds

A new sort of hedge fund relies on crowd-sourcing

“QUANT” hedge funds have long been seen as the nerdy vanguard of finance. Firms such as Renaissance Technologies, Two Sigma and Man AHL, each of which manages tens of billions of dollars, hire talented mathematicians and physicists to sit in their airy offices and develop trading algorithms. But what if such talent could be harnessed without the hassle of an expensive and time-consuming recruitment process? That is the proposition Quantopian, a hedge fund and online crowd-sourcing platform founded in 2011, is testing. Anyone can learn to build trading algorithms on its platform. The most successful are then picked to manage money. Last month the firm announced it had made its first allocations of funds to 15 algorithms it had selected.

http://www.economist.com …  Thu.,  18  May 2017

Cyber attack

Hacking group threatens to sell code

Governments turned their attention to a possible new wave of cyber threats on Tuesday after the group that leaked U.S. hacking tools used to launch the global WannaCry “ransomware” attack warned it would release more malicious code. The fast-spreading cyber extortion campaign, which has infected more than 300,000 computers worldwide since Friday, eased for second day on Tuesday, but the identity and motive of its creators remain unknown. The attack includes elements that belong to the U.S. National Security Agency and were leaked online last month.

Shadow Brokers, the group that has taken credit for that leak, threatened on Tuesday to release more recent code to enable hackers to break into the world’s most widely used computers, software and phones. A blog post written by the group promised from June to release tools every month to anyone willing to pay for access to some of the tech world’s biggest commercial secrets. It also threatened to dump data from banks using the SWIFT international money transfer network and from Russian, Chinese, Iranian or North Korean nuclear and missile programs. “More details in June,” it promised.

http://www.reuters.com …  Wed.,  17  May 2017

Half of European businesses to reduce their use of UK suppliers

UK/Europe: how to avoid Brexit tariffs

 

  • 32% of UK businesses who use EU suppliers are looking for British replacements
  • Nearly half (46%) of European businesses expect to reduce their use of UK suppliers
  • 36% of UK businesses plan to respond to Brexit by beating down supplier prices
  • The UK’s “weak negotiating position” is seen as the biggest hurdle in trade talks

Businesses either side of the English Channel are preparing contingency plans which could sever supply chains between the UK and EU, according to the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply (CIPS).
A survey of 2,111 supply chain managers found that 32% of UK businesses who work with suppliers on the continent are actively looking for alternative suppliers based in the UK as a response to the referendum.
Businesses within the EU are even more advanced in their preparations. Almost half (45%) of EU businesses who work with UK suppliers are in the process of finding local replacements.

http://www.cips.org …  Tue.,  16  May 2017

BREXIT: JPMorgan to move massively staff out of London

Dublin, Frankfurt and Luxembourg, new destinations for bankers

JPMorgan Chase & Co. plans to move hundreds of London-based bankers to expanded offices in Dublin, Frankfurt and Luxembourg as it prepares for the U.K. to lose easy access to the European Union’s single market after Brexit, the firm’s head of investment banking said.

“We are going to use the three banks we already have in Europe as the anchors for our operations,” Daniel Pinto said in an interview Tuesday in Riyadh, referring to the New York-based firm’s local entities. “We will have to move hundreds of people in the short term to be ready for day one, when negotiations finish, and then we will look at the longer-term numbers.”

http://www.bloomberg.com…  Wed.,  03 May 2017

Insurance fintech offers diabetes life & disability cover

Insurance tech company help ‘uninsurable’ diabetics

A South African insurance technology company supported by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is launching a life insurance product for diabetics in the UK. AllLife has partnered with Royal London, the UK’s largest mutual insurer, to offer a new product to diabetics previously regarded as “uninsurable” because of their condition. AllLife uses an algorithmic pricing platform called Kaliber to deliver a cost-effective life insurance product.

http://www.businessinsider.com…  Tue.,  25 April 2017

Banks are now assuming there will be a “hard Brexit”

HSBC Says Companies Already Re-Routing Business

HSBC Holdings Plc said some of its largest clients have already asked for their business to be routed through the bank’s offices in mainland Europe and aren’t waiting to see what Brexit deal the U.K. hammers out with the continent’s trading bloc.

http://www.bloomberg.com…  Fri.,  14 April 2017

RBS road to recovery

RBS rising from ruins as shadow of former self

Nine years after the beginning of a 45-billion-pound ($56 billion) bailout by the British government, Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) is emerging from its restructuring process a shadow of what was once the biggest lender in the world. RBS had a balance sheet of 2.4 trillion pounds in 2008 – almost double Britain’s annual economic output at the time – having staged a meteoric rise from being a small Scottish lender in the early 1990s.

Since the bailout it has offloaded billions of pounds of assets a week, as it tries to shrink down to being a simple UK-focused lender. Later this year RBS will shut its Capital Resolution division, which has sold off large chunks of its huge stockpile of unwanted assets. The closure will mark a milestone in the bank’s road to recovery, with its balance sheet around 1.6 trillion pounds lighter than when its great sell-off began.
http://www.reuters.com…  Mon.,  03 April 2017

Brexit: JPMorgan Said in Talks for Dublin Office

Citi Weighs EU Unit

JPMorgan Chase & Co. is in talks to buy a Dublin office building as the bank considers expanding in the Irish capital as one of its options for when Britain leaves the European Union, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The lender is negotiating the potential purchase of a building being developed by a venture between Kennedy Wilson Holdings Inc. and Ireland’s National Asset Management Agency, the people said, asking not to be identified because the plans are private. The building at 200 Capital Dock has about 130,000 square feet (12,000 square meters) of space, the people said. That’s enough for more than 1,000 workers.
http://www.bloomberg.com…  Fri.,  31 March 2017